EU ban on major stablecoins set to disrupt crypto market


Starting next month, some major digital currencies, such as Tether, will be banned from the European crypto market due to new EU regulations. This change is expected to cause significant disruptions in trading on European crypto exchanges, given the importance of stablecoins in these markets.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies tied to real currencies, such as the US dollar, or other cryptocurrencies, leading to more stable prices. Tether (USDT), which is linked to the dollar, is a prominent example. However, new EU regulations regarding capital and transparency will lead to a ban on most stablecoins.

Tether, which holds 70% of its $160 billion market value, does not meet the MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets) Regulation standards. As a result, Tether will be banned in the European Union next month and is already being removed from several online trading platforms. Although Tether remains available on the larger exchange platform Kraken, this platform is also considering halting its trading.

Potential alternatives and market impact

The ban on Tether will compel European investors to seek alternative stablecoins when utilizing crypto services outside of Europe. According to analysis firm Steno Research, this shift could destabilize market liquidity and overall stability. Analysts are concerned that the EU's stricter regulations, being unique to the region, may lead to its isolation from the global crypto market.

With few stablecoins currently complying with the new EU rules, exchanges like Binance are exploring alternatives. One promising option is Circle's USDC, the second-largest player in the USD stablecoin space. USDC has the potential to become the go-to stablecoin in Europe, possibly displacing Tether. Circle also has a small stablecoin linked to the euro, the EURC.

Another contender is EUR CoinVertible from Societe Generale, one of the few approved stablecoins, although its popularity remains unproven. Tether's CEO, Paolo Ardoino, has stated that the company will not pursue further attempts to comply with European regulations. He expressed skepticism about the regulations, particularly the capital and coverage requirements imposed by the EU.

The regulatory environment for stablecoins is complex, with varying requirements across different markets. In the US, a more progressive stance towards stablecoins has led to proposals like the Lummis-Gillibrand Payment Stablecoin Act of 2024. This act aims to facilitate stablecoin innovation while ensuring stability and trust in their usage.

In Southeast Asia, Singapore's Monetary Authority has finalized a regulatory framework for stablecoins, subjecting issuers to the electronic money directive and additional obligations outlined in MiCA. Each stablecoin in circulation must be backed by an equivalent amount in reserves, a rule intended to maintain stability and trust.

Understanding these regulations is essential for businesses dealing with stablecoins to navigate the complex regulatory environment effectively. Compliance is a crucial aspect of operating in the crypto market, particularly for stablecoins due to their unique risks and challenges.

Risks and challenges

Stablecoin ventures face numerous risks, including liquidity shortfalls, operational expansion difficulties, market fluctuations, potential cyber-attacks, and regulatory complications. Ensuring compliance with regulations is vital for mitigating these risks and maintaining trust in the financial ecosystem. Transparency around reserve holdings and asset backing is crucial for maintaining investor confidence. Regular attestations of reserves, like those provided by Tether, can help address transparency and trustworthiness concerns.

High transaction volumes can lead to blockchain congestion, slowing down transaction times and making stablecoins impractical to use. Scalability through technology improvements and partnerships is necessary for stablecoin issuers to address these issues and maintain user confidence.

Algorithmic stablecoins are particularly vulnerable to volatility due to their decentralized nature and lack of underlying asset backing. Robust risk management strategies and transparency measures can help mitigate these risks and sustain trust in the financial ecosystem.

Hacking threats and exploits pose significant risks to stablecoins, especially those with large market shares. Collaborating with reputable cybersecurity firms and implementing essential security measures can help mitigate these risks. Ensuring compliance with regulations and implementing robust KYC procedures are critical steps for maintaining trust and security in the stablecoin market.

The EU's ban on major stablecoins like Tether is poised to cause significant shifts in the crypto market. As businesses and exchanges navigate these changes, compliance with evolving regulations will be essential for maintaining stability and investor confidence.