What is The Impact of Quantitative Easing on the USD?


Recently the Fed has announced the start of virtually unlimited Quantitative Easing (QE). But what is the impact of QE on the U.S dollar (USD)?

7 April 2020 | HYCM – The rule of thumb is that Quantitative easing weakens a countries currency. QE increases the supply of a currency and therefore you are decreasing its value. QE is literally the printing of money. You can see on the below chart that QE weakens USD.
What is The Impact of Quantitative Easing on the USD?

The impact of Quantitative Easing on the USD

Recently the Fed has announced the start of virtually unlimited QE. However, the USD has generally been strong on safe-haven demand.
So, the basic playbook for the USD is as follows. If the COVID19 crisis gets worse – we see dollar bids. If it gets better then we see USD sellers as the impact of QE comes home to roost. This base case would make for some decent EURUSD longs once we move out of the woods. It would perhaps explain the growing number of EUR longs in the COT report with the highest levels since June 2018:
  • EUR long 74K vs 61K long last week. Longs increased by 13k
  • GBP long 5K vs 11K long last week. Longs trimmed by 6K
  • JPY long 18K vs 24K long last week. Longs trimmed by 6K
  • CHF long 5K vs 5K long last week. No change in the current week.
  • AUD short 31k vs 25K short last week. Shorts increased by 6K
  • NZD short 16K  vs 16K short last week. No change in the current week.
  • CAD short 22k vs 29K short last week. Shorts trimmed by 7K

Disclaimer

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 58% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work. You should also consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For more information please refer to HYCM’s Risk Disclosure. Learn more about HYCM.

    Share Your Opinion, Write a Comment