As the Euro remains range-bound in the long-term, current action is hung in the middle ahead of major releases on both sides of the pond.
January 4, GKFX – EURUSD is adding to yesterday’s gains and trades in the vicinity of 1.1400 the figure, extending the rebound from weekly lows near 1.1300 and challenging the bearish ‘outside day’ charted on Wednesday.
EURUSD focused on EMU, US data
EUR saw its demand picking up pace in the last couple of sessions in light of the persistent offered tone in the buck, declining US yields and some renewed optimism in the US-China trade dispute.
In the meantime, spot is expected to trade in a cautious mood ahead of key releases later today, including advanced inflation figures in the euro area for the month of December, US Non-farm Payrolls and the speech by Fed’s J.Powell.
What to look for around EURUSD
Alternating risk trends continue to be the most relevant driver of the pair in the very near term. In addition, investors keep looking to US-China trade front along with prospects of a potential slowdown in the global economy, particularly exacerbated by recent results in Chinese fundamentals and Apple’s warning on sales.
Today’s speech by Chief Powell should keep the buck under scrutiny, as it could unveil further details of the rate path by the Federal Reserve in the coming months. Further out, yield spread differentials between Germany and the US keep their significance when comes to determine the price direction in the pair.
EURUSD technical analysis
At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.08% at 1.1401 facing the next up barrier at 1.1412 (high Jan.4) seconded by 1.1478 (100-day SMA) and finally 1.1547 (high Jan.1). On the flip side, a breakdown of 1.1309 (2019 low Jan.2) would target 1.1268 (monthly low Dec.14 2018) en route to 1.1214 (2018 low Nov.12).
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