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Bitcoin price prediction: two most likely scenarios before triangle breakout

Bitcoin price prediction: two most likely scenarios before triangle breakout

Bitcoin is effectively supported above $10,000 with a rally to or above $11,000 very likely. The following technical analysis is based on the Elliott wave theory.

September 09, 2019 | AtoZ Markets – Bitcoin has rejected late last week bearish push beneath $10,000. But for a fast slump later in the week, Bitcoin would have had a perfect bullish run last week. The premier cryptocurrency gained $1,400 last week after it hit $10,900 from $9,500 but quickly slumped to $10,200. At the start of this week, BTC has oscillated between $10,100 and $10,400 to complete a minor 3-swing leg which suggests further rally to $11,000 or above is probable as we would soon show with technical analysis.

Bitcoin market dominance has dropped in the last 48 hours, from 71% to 69.8%. The entire market cap is not far from last week average. Clearly, it can be seen on the chart the bull-bear battle is getting narrower. A massive breakout is near. 

Bitcoin hash rate skyrockets 

Just as the BTC price narrows down, the hash rate is jetting off to set a new record. According to an earlier report, the BTC hash rate has surpassed 94 quintillion hashes/second and might hit 100 quintillions for the first time ever.  Hash rate is the measuring unit of how fast the Bitcoin network processes transactions. It’s one of the parameters miners use to calculate Bitcoin mining profitability. The hash rate usually has a direct correlation with the Bitcoin price. This means that more often than not when the hash rate rises, the Bitcoin price rises as well. It remains to be seen how the BTC price will respond given that it has been in a sideways bearish correction since late June. Will there be a bullish breakout soon?

Bitcoin price prediction: Elliott wave analysis

In recent updates, we identified the dip from June as a sideways triangle pattern after BTC retraced from an amazing bullish run in the first half of 2019 (rose from $3,100 to $ 13,900).

In the last update, we used the chart above to measure the position of the triangle in the bigger corrective phase. In the update below, we take a closer look at the two most likely scenarios.

1st Scenario

The chart below shows the entire dip from 13,900 2019 high completing a triangle pattern with a preceding bullish trend.

Meanwhile, the triangle pattern is not yet complete. Wave (d) could rally further to any price below $12,300. There might be one more dip to $9,600-$10,000 or higher before the bullish breakout happens above the $19,800 all-time high. 

2nd Scenario

The chart below identifies a possible triangle pattern as part of a larger bearish double zigzag corrective pattern to a lower price.

This pattern is less close to a triangle than the first scenario. However it moves, if BTC bull continues to be limited below $12,000 and the price eventually drops below $9,100-9,300 support zone, the bearish correction from $13,900 will most likely continue to 7,000-7,200 support zone. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of AtoZ Markets.com, nor should they be attributed to AtoZMarkets.