30 July NZDUSD Technical Analysis: Pair is sidelined around 0.68

The NZDUSD pair is currently trading at 0.68 and could feel the pull of gravity as the spread between the New Zealand and US bond yields continues to drop. What is next? The following 30 July NZDUSD Technical Analysis reveals.

30 July, GKFX – The currency pair has created a narrowing price range (or pennant pattern) since July 3. The Kiwi dollar had picked up a bid in the first half of the last week, raising prospects of a bullish pennant breakout.

However, Thursday’s bearish outside-day candle poured cold water over the optimism generated by the pair’s recovery from 0.6714 (July 19 low).

This should not come as a surprise as the yield differential is falling in the USD-positive manner. For instance, the 2Y NZ-US yield spread has dropped more than 20 basis points this month and currently stands at -0.78. Meanwhile, the 10Y NZ-US yield spread has hit a 2.5-month low of -0.20.

Looking ahead, the currency pair will likely continue tracking the yield differential and CNY exchange rate.

30 July NZDUSD Technical Analysis

Resistance: 0.6801 (5-day moving average), 0.6851 (July 26 high), 0.6873 (50-day moving average).

Support: 0.6862 (previous day’s low), 0.6714 (July 19 low), 0.6688 (July 3 low).

Two-year spread


This article 30 July NZDUSD Technical Analysis was written by analysts at GKFX. The information provided herein is for general informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended and should not be construed to constitute advice.

If such information is acted upon by you, then this should be solely at your discretion, and GKFX will not be held accountable in any way.

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