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13 October 2017

Forex Technical analysis

Market moving fundamental events


Brexit risks meanwhile are weighing on U.K. markets as hopes of early trade talks were dashed by Barnier yesterday, what else will appear as major market movers today? Let's find out with this 13 October Market moving fundamental events analysis from HotForex.

13 October, HotForex - Topix and Nikkei rallied and are targeting fresh highs, boosted by technology companies and retailers as markets start to focus on earnings. Elsewhere gains were more mooted and Hang Seng and CSI 300 swung between gains and losses.

13 October Market moving fundamental events analysis.

European Market Outlook

U.S. stock futures are higher, UK100 futures slightly down, but for the Eurozone a Bloomberg report that the ECB is considering halving asset purchases next year, but with a longer than anticipated 9 months extension could help the GER30 to finally crack the 13000 mark and keep Bunds underpinned.

Brexit risks meanwhile are weighing on U.K. markets as hopes of early trade talks were dashed by Barnier yesterday, although there is still the hope of a transition period, which would at least give more time for talks.

Forex Market Updates

EURUSD opened in N.Y. at 1.1860 highs, and spent much of the remainder of the session slowly grinding lower, basing at 1.1827 after the London close. The pairing traded under both its 50- and 20day moving averages, before reclaiming the levels into the close.

The dovish fallout from Wednesday’s FOMC minutes continued to provide some support, though Friday’s U.S. CPI report may end up being a weight on the euro should data come in warm, as expected. Talk of a no-deal exit from the EU has been increasing, with five rounds of negotiation  having reached “deadlock,” according to the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, Barniar.

He also said that the EU would agree to a two-year transitory period, to buy more time after actual Brexit occurs in March 2019. Cable surged to $1.3290 after  EU’s Barnier’s comments.

Main Macro 13 October Market moving fundamental events

  • US Retail Sales – Expectations – At 1.7% in September vs -0.2% in August, or 0.3% ex-auto.

  • US CPI  – Expectations – CPI is forecast to surge 0.6% in September from 0.4% due to the surge in petroleum price.

  • ECB  – ECB Vice President Vitor Constancio is due to speak at 12:30 GMT.

  • FOMC Speeches –  Boston Fed dove Rosengren opens a policy conference by his branch at 12:30 GMT. Evans is back on the economy and policy from 14:25 GMT, Kaplan takes Q&A at a CFA conference from 15:30 GMT and Powell is invited to speak at the Boston Fed conference from 17 GMT.

Support and Resistance Levels

13 October Market moving fundamental events analysis.


This article about 13 October Market moving fundamental events was written by Andria Pichidi, Market Analyst at HotForex. The provided article is a general marketing communication for information purposes only. It does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains an investment advice or an investment recommendation. It also does not contain a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument.

All information provided gathered from reputable sources. Any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication.

HotForex FOMC US CPI ECB Vitor Constancio

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